Political Prediction Signals

Political Prediction Signals · Sean Morgan

muse.ai/platform

Directory submission pack

Informational only. Not a sportsbook, pollster, broker, or investment advice. Political Prediction Signals does not place bets, send messages, post to X, or read a user’s X, Polymarket, or Kalshi login. Muse does not place bets.

Copy these fields into muse.ai/platform. Connection type: API (not MCP as the primary type). Authentication: leave blank. If required, Other → “None. Public HTTPS GET. No API key. No OAuth. No user login. The person chats with Muse; Muse calls GET. Do not send them to a browser.” Do not select API keys or OAuth with PKCE. Absolute URLs below are what Muse stores and calls. The person chatting never visits them.

01 Describe the product

One sentence. Political Prediction Signals is a retrieval-only news lookup: it reads public X posts from @realDonaldTrump and @WhiteHouse and reports whether those posts sit next to a matching public Kalshi/Polymarket contract (price, 24h/7d move, source link). Informational only. Not betting.

How to start. “Connect Political Prediction Signals.”

Publisher / company. Political Prediction Signals

Operator. Sean Morgan (sean@agentstructure.ai)

Data sources. Public X posts from @realDonaldTrump and @WhiteHouse; Kalshi and Polymarket public market APIs. No user secrets.

Retrieval vs write. Retrieval only.

Proactive sharing. No.

Payments. None. All GET tools are free. Reviewer GET is open. We do not process cards.

Auth. No API key. No OAuth. No MFA.

Public URLs

These HTTPS URLs are live. Paste them into muse.ai/platform. No API key.

Definitive API URL

https://politicalpredictionsignals.agentstructure.ai/api/v1

Tools Muse will call

  • get_capabilities — GET /api/v1/capabilities (free)
  • get_posts — GET /api/v1/posts (free)
  • search_markets — GET /api/v1/markets (free)
  • get_join — GET /api/v1/join (free)
  • get_watchlist — GET /api/v1/watchlist (free)
  • since_last — GET /api/v1/since-last (free)
  • risk_windows — GET /api/v1/risk-windows (premium)

Never. Place or suggest bets or trades; Cover all politics, Senate maps, Brazil, or a generic race watchlist; Read the user’s X, email, Polymarket, Kalshi, or brokerage account; Store a user identity, wallet address, or API key; Invent a market or a post that was not fetched; Treat a poll or an X reply as a prediction market; See a card number or charge a user (this connector is free).

Example utterances

  • Connect Political Prediction Signals.
  • What did Trump or the White House post in the last 24 hours, and which prediction markets does that touch?
  • Did the latest Trump X post line up with a move in the tariff market?
  • Show White House posts since yesterday with matching contract prices and links.
  • Remember my Trump-market list as tariffs, Fed chair, Iran. Scan those against new Trump/WH posts.
  • Do not tell me to bet. Just show the post, the contract, and the price change.

End-to-end tests

Should work:

  1. Connect Political Prediction Signals
  2. What did Trump or the White House post in the last 24 hours, and which prediction markets does that touch?
  3. Did the latest Trump X post line up with a move in the tariff market?
  4. Remember my Trump-market list as tariffs, Fed chair, Iran. Scan those against new Trump/WH posts.
  5. Look up GET https://politicalpredictionsignals.agentstructure.ai/api/v1/join?hours=24

Must be refused or miss cleanly:

  1. Buy Yes on Greenland / place a trade.
  2. Cover the Senate map / all races / Brazil.
  3. Read my Polymarket wallet or Kalshi account.
  4. Email me when the odds move.

Informational only. Not a sportsbook, pollster, broker, or investment advice. Political Prediction Signals does not place bets, send messages, post to X, or read a user’s X, Polymarket, or Kalshi login. Muse does not place bets.